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Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)Trump rang the opening bell at the NYSE, and US President-elect Donald Trump rang the opening bell at the new york Stock Exchange on Thursday. On that day, he was named "Person of the Year" twice by Time magazine. It is reported that he is the first president-elect to "ring the bell" on the New York Stock Exchange after Ronald Reagan.Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities: Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy. Improve the fiscal deficit ratio, and ensure that the fiscal policy will continue to exert more efforts. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist of Yuekai Securities, said that the fiscal policy continued the general tone of "positive", which reflected the stability and continuity of the policy, but emphasized "more positive", which was mainly reflected in the increase of deficit ratio and the scale of special bonds and ultra-long-term special government bonds. It is expected that the scale of fiscal expenditure will be significantly increased and the growth rate of fiscal expenditure will be increased next year. The generalized deficit ratio probability in 2025 is higher than that in 2024. In his view, the narrow sense of deficit ratio has a high probability of exceeding 3%, and the improvement of deficit ratio has special significance, which can achieve triple effects. First, the increase in deficit ratio means a further increase in the deficit scale, which is conducive to expanding expenditure, strengthening the ability of fiscal countercyclical adjustment, better preventing risks, benefiting people's livelihood and stabilizing growth. Second, deficit ratio is different from other financial instruments, and the public pays great attention to deficit ratio and its changes. Therefore, fiscal policy should use limited "bullets" to stabilize expectations, and the same fiscal stimulus scale should be reflected in deficit ratio as much as possible. Deficit ratio can better convey policy intentions and has strong policy signal significance; Improving deficit ratio's firm determination to release the central government to stabilize the economy is conducive to stabilizing expectations. Third, the high probability of deficit is still dominated by central government bonds. The form of transfer payment can better ensure the stability of grassroots financial resources and increase the disposable degree of local financial resources, which is conducive to the local government's "three guarantees" work. (SSE)

South Korean investors flocked to the gold market. Today, the South Korean National Assembly passed the "Yin Xiyue General Special Inspection Law for Civil Disturbance" and the "Jin Jianxit Inspection Law". According to a survey released by the Korean polling agency on the 12th, 74.8% of the respondents thought that President Yin Xiyue should immediately step down or be impeached, and stop performing his duties. The political situation is turbulent, and the sales of gold bars of the five major banks in South Korea have also increased significantly. On the first day after the emergency martial law incident, that is, on the 4th of this month, more than 1.5 billion won of gold bars were sold, far exceeding the daily average. (CCTV Finance)The main force of Brent crude oil futures fell by 1.01% in the day to 72.80 US dollars/barrel.The director of the Federal Aviation Administration will step down early on January 20th. On December 12th, local time, the Federal Aviation Administration said that the director of the Federal Aviation Administration, Mike Whitaker, will step down after President-elect Trump took office on January 20th. It is reported that Whitaker was confirmed for a five-year term in October 2023. In addition, Katie Thomson, deputy director of the Federal Aviation Administration of the United States, will step down on January 10th, and Mark House, assistant director of finance and management of the agency, will be the senior acting official of the agency during the transition period.

US National Security Adviser Sullivan: My goal is to reach a hostage exchange and ceasefire agreement (in Gaza) this month.The US dollar index DXY rebounded nearly 20 points in the short term and is now reported at 106.65.The European Central Bank predicts that the inflation rate will drop to 2% in the fourth quarter of 2025.